Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Wrestling

My son placed 5th in the Louisiana High School Athletic Association wrestling tournament.
The video of his last bout is here.


Thomas' 5th place finish.

The big story of the evening was the loss of the Division 2 title to Holy Cross by Archbishop Shaw.  Here is the story.

There are two lessons here.  The first is that the Shaw wrestler used an illegal move against his opponent.  Unlike the way it is portrayed in the story, the decision to award the bout to the Tuerling's wrestler was not quick or easy.  The Tuerlings wrestler was injured by the move; the injury clock (5 minutes) was started and ticked down through less than 2 minutes remaining.  At this point, the referee brought the injured wrestler to the center of the mat and awarded him the bout.

This loss hurt Shaw, but they would have ultimately still clenched the Division title, except for the second lesson.  The Shaw wrestler could not comprehend that he lost his bout to DQ.  He wigged out and put on a display of what can only be called 'unsportsman-like' conduct.  He was ejected from the tournament.  Not only did he have to leave, but his entire tournament results were erased from his team score.  Shaw went from being ahead by 4 points to being down by 16 points at the end.

The two lessons. 

1. If you perform an illegal move, you may lose the bout.  Accept it.
2. Unsportsman-like conduct can have tremendous consequences - don't engage in it.


Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Google Documents - Footnotes

Google Docs now does footnotes, will Instapundit now use it for his law articles?

Tuesday, November 04, 2008

Election Day 2008

Well, I went to the polls this morning and voted.  McCain/I found that I did not have a good grasp of the different amendments to the Louisiana constitution, but I muddled my way through it.

Interestingly enough, I did find two articles regarding how different states handle the giving of gifts to prospective voters.

Washington State - Verbotten.

Pennsylvania - Encouraged, but there is no evidence that Senator Obama has participated.

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Cyber Command

There have been 2 cyber wars in the last 18 months.  Estonia, April 2007 and Georgia, August 2008.  Despite this, the USAF has decided that the service responsibility to "organize, train, and equip" Cyber Forces is best served by a Numbered Air Force (NAF - 3 Star General) instead of a Major Command (MAJCOM - 4 Star General). 
The ability to set budget priorities exists at the MAJCOM level.  When the NAF 3-Star budget for creating Cyber Forces competes with the 4-Star's budget priorities (Space), the 3-Star loses. 
2 Cyber Wars in 18 months - I think this should deserve a little more attention.

Thursday, September 25, 2008

Bailout Plan

In light of the current 'Stimulus' plan and the protests against it, I have dusted off the plan I proposed on 27 August 2008.  The reason I am re-posting this is because I do not understand how the new government spending proposal is supposed to directly stimulate the economy.  I use the word, 'directly' for a reason. 

Direct Stimulation

I can comprehend how a direct rebate to the American taxpayer stimulates the economy.  The taxpayer takes the money and does 1 or 2 things with it that are easy to understand.  He either (1) spends it, (2) he saves it or (3) does some combination of the two.  The direct cost to the government is the price of the paper the check is written on, postage, and the costs associated with borrowing the money. 

The consequences of the payment are profound - if the individual spends the money, he is spending it on goods and services that he personally enjoys - there is no bureaucrat in the middle making these decisions for him.  The money thus spent goes to those firms who make the things the individual enjoys - the market then works as advertised.

If the individual chooses to save the money he is still benefiting the economy.  The bank that he puts the money into now has assets that it may write loans against. 

If the individual repays debts, that still stimulates because the bank has reacquired assets and the individual can use those dollars that were previously devoted to interest in the pursuit of more consumer goods.  The benefit of this type of system is that it requires no bureaucrats in order to properly function.  All the beneficiaries of this system have to do is make good decisions in the aggregate and everyone benefits.

Issues with the current plan

The current plan, however requires bureaucrats in order to function properly.  Since so many dollars are filtering through the hands of so few bureaucrats, any mistake on the part of the administrators is magnified greatly.

The other issue I have with the current bailout plan is that it rewards bad behavior.  That is not quite accurate - it provides incentives to people to engage in bad behavior.  It doesn't just reward bad behavior, it encourages more bad behavior.  The government paying the loans of people who made bad borrowing decisions rewards 2 groups of people - those that made the bad borrowing decision and those lenders that made poor lending decisions.  This is not the kind of twofer that we need.  Additionally, all this type of plan can achieve, at the most, is a return to status quo ante.  You cannot move forward, and you cannot improve the economy as a whole.  This is because the plan is based on 2 groups of people who have made bad decisions in the past.  Success of the Obama plan, therefore, relies on those who have been unreliable in the past.

By contrast, however, Instugator's plan relies only on those who have been reliable in the past.  All that has to happen for my plan to succeed is that those people who have been reliable continue to be so.

Here is Instugator’s bailout plan.

Principles:

1. Reward those who practice good behavior

A. Paying your mortgage on time is good behavior

2. Do Not reward those who practice bad behavior

A. Borrowing what you cannot afford is bad behavior.

B. Having an interest-only mortgage is bad behavior.

C. Having an ARM is questionable.

D. Investment Bankers who purchase CDO’s without understanding the underlying value of them are engaging in bad behavior.

E. Those who sold CDO’s without including the data necessary to understand the underlying value are engaging in bad behavior.

3. Do not let those most directly responsible for the current mess come within 100 miles of the bailout money.

A. Those whose W-2 forms show that they work for congress, Freddie, Fannie, or any investment bank in need of a bailout need not apply.

The Plan:

1. Take the $700B <or whatever number is currently in vogue>

2. Find those people who-

A. Have a conventional mortgage.

B. Have always paid it on time.

C. Have never declared bankruptcy

3. Establish an agreement that the Gov’t will:

A. Pay off the mortgage of those who meet each condition in item 2.

(This allows banks to resume mortgage lending and permits those who engaged in good behavior to go bargain-hunting - thus rewarding good behavior)

B. Each person whose mortgage is paid off will agree to make monthly payments to a money-market account

(This increases short term liquidity - also allows those with good behavior to use their work ethic to the betterment of all)

C. Each person agrees to re-finance their house at the end of a 5-10 year period of time at market value to repay the Gov’t.

(This repays the bonds that the govt will have to put on the market to fund the plan)

4. The government will issue bonds to pay for this plan (up front).

5. Bonds are repaid prior to maturity by those bailed out.

(People with good behavior are people who are less risky - that is why they have good credit ratings)

6. In the event the number of bailoutees exceeds the dollars available, applicants from the acceptable pool will be chosen by lottery.

Instugator, as author of the plan, recuses himself from participating.





Sunday, September 07, 2008

Senator Obama and Guns

Story here.

I notice the good senator does not say, "I will veto any legislation that categorically bans guns."

I also notice that he does not include the concept of self defense in his denials.

Thursday, September 04, 2008

McCain Tonight

4 Sep 2008 1928CDT a Recommendation (ahead of time) to Sen John McCain:

Do not try to outshine Gov. Palin - you may not be able to; if you don't it will be turned into a negative.

Instead, focus on your key speaking strengths: You are a humble and engaging man. Focus on that - be yourself - humble and engaging - and if you do, your speech will be both memorable and successful. Walk around, hold the mic - engage the audience - focus on reaching beyond the base, but don't compromise your principles.

Disclosure: I did not want to vote for you, but I am inspired by Gov Palin and I want you to win this election. Best of Luck!

Stew


Update: 6 Sep 2008

I enjoyed your speech. I know you didn't read it here first, but I think you focused on your strengths and succeeded in reaching beyond the base.

Bill Whittle's article from National Review Online captures my feelings exactly.

For those who missed it, here is John McCain's acceptance speech as recorded by CSPAN.


Sen. John McCain's full speech to the RNC.

See for yourself.